Showing posts with label POPULATION. Show all posts
Showing posts with label POPULATION. Show all posts

Monday, January 13, 2014

A hole in Pain : POPULATION

ANWAR ALI

One of the most serious problems that India faces today is the problem of overpopulation. In our country, a baby is born every two seconds i.e., more than 40,000 children are born everyday. If the present tread continues, our population might touch the fantastic figure of a thousand million at the turn of the century. The uneven distribution of population in the world has severely affected the fragile ecological balance in many countries. The unbridled growth of human population has also brought problems like unemployment, urbanization, pollution, etc. Here, in India, it is necessary that the problem of population growth is attacked on a war-footing. The masses have to be motivated and not coerced to adopt family planning. And the best method to motivate is to educate. The education of women, in particular, should receive greater attention of our planners.
Television can play a very useful role in this area. Living standards of the people should be raised and health care and educational institutions should be actively involved in the family planning drive to supplement the efforts of the Government. We should not spare any attempt to educate our people and convince them of the benefits-both social and individual-about the check in growth of population as well as calculated steps towards health and prosperity. The statement that our teeming lions have set at naught decades of developmental efforts, overcrowded our cities and rendered living conditions appalling has become trite. Yet, the fact remains that in the face of such obvious chaos all around, population growth continues to be unrelenting.
Therefore, any development policy in a developing country must encompass the problem of population growth as also the social, environmental and technological phenomena. This could be done in respect of a country as a whole or on an inter-regional basis within the country.
So far, demographic issues have not yet been integrated in our scheme of life. To most of us, vitalism is dominant and life is sacred. It is not yet appreciated that any population strategy will serve in a more effective manner if it is combined with achieving a better quality of life.
For the economic planners, an understanding of the socio-economic determinants of population trends is essential in the formulation of appropriate measures and strategies to raise the levels of living.
In the primitive societies, where resources were abundant, the rearing of many children into healthy and useful adults was not overtly difficult. The community and the family did not have to count the cost of institutionalized health care and education, for instance. On the other hand, the child contributed to the welfare of the family and community by the work he or she learnt to do at an early age. This still holds good in some parts of the world. In India too it is not easy to counter the poor peasant's argument that the more children he has. The better-off he is. But as we move inexorably towards more development, the investment per child inevitably becomes much greater both for the family and the community. By and large, the biggest increase will be in the poorest countries which are the teast able to support them. As a result of this increase, the availability per person of critical resources such as water, fuel wood and crop land will drop at an unprecedented rate. Even without increased per capita consumption in developing countries, the projected doubling of world population in the next century is likely to further degrade the critical-support systems of the planet. In many areas, population densities by far exceed the carrying capacity of the physical environment and could ultimately threaten the very eco-system on which human survival and economic development depend. Even though the number of children per woman has decreased, the number of women of child-bearing age has increased more rapidly.
On a national scale, the age structure of a country's population is crucial to development planning efforts. On an international scale, the implications of this rapid population growth are enormous for regional and global environmental issues such as climate change. A very youthful population such as in most developing countries or an aging population like in many industrialized countries has different implications for future population growth and for social needs.
The youthful age structure of the population in much of the developing world would mean that the absolute number of births and the total population will continue to rise rapidly for the next 20 or 30 years, if present trends continue.
There is hardly any issue on the global environmental: agenda unaffected- by population growth- Poverty, demographic dynamics, human settlement, fragile ecosy6tehis. Agriculture, biodiversity, pollution of rivers and oceans, and others. Just to survive, burgeoning populations place ever-larger burdens on water, farmland, forests and coastal habitats. As those natural resources deteriorate, "environmental refugees" flee to urban areas, where sanitation and other basic services are overloaded. Already, the beginnings of environmental disasters are being felt. They range from air pollution, faecal contamination of drinking water and hazardous waste pollution, to depletion and degradation of freshwater resources, occupation of high-risk land, and damage to eco-systems and cultural property.
Family planning has played an integral role in reducing fertility throughout the world. At present, the total fertility rate (TFR) is thought to stand at 3A children born to the average woman.
The situation is worse in India, which has had a family planning programme since 1951. Its population of about 882 million is growing at about 2 14 percent per year, compared to 1.5 per cent per year for China's population billion. India is expected to replace China as the most populous country by 2035.
It has a new model plan for improving family planning services, but still has to convert it into action in hundreds of thousands of villages. Its official goal is to reduce the TFR by 50 per cent by the year 2000.
In India, due to rampant illiteracy and widespread ignorance a large majority disbelieve that less children are hindrances to their economic interests because, for them it means less work hands. However the reality is that high population growth rates have a negative effect on economic growth rates, especially in developing countries.
But there is also the more significant plane at which the output itself is affected by the rate of population growth. This is essentially because of a reduction in savings for investment and diversion of larger amounts of resources to welfare and to indirectly productive investments such as health and education needed to support a shooting population.
The Indian state has to sponsor and heavily subsidies these projects not only because it is a welfare state, but also because, if some of these investments are withdrawn, the speed and structure of economic expansion could be impaired by the resultant lower productivity of an uncared labour force. India being a democratic welfare state is committed to provide jobs for as many people as it can. This has lead to over staffing and thereby under employment. Both together synergistically lead to gross inefficiency. This has contributed to both the public sector and the government being in the red.
Health conditions around the world have improved more over the past 40 years than in all of previous human history. However the conditions are still bad in the developing countries and they have an adverse impact on family planning (FP).
Complications of pregnancy and childbirth claim the lives of about 400,000 women each year in developing countries where maternal mortality ratios are up to 30 times higher than in the high-income nations.
According to the World Development Report, while India spends $ 18 billion on health against $ 13 billion in China with a much larger population, health in China is better than in India. While the IMR (Infant Mortality Rate) is 29 per thousand in China, it is as high as 90 per thousand in India. Even the under-five mortality rate is as high as 142 per thousand in India while in China it is just 42 per thousand. In countries with a high IMR couples do not tend to accept contraceptive or sterilization methods, as there is no guarantee for their children surviving. This is one of the three health challenges before the world now, the other two being AIDs and drug resistant strains of disease. It has been estimated that the world will he inhabited by 1.2 billion people above 60 years of age by 2020 AD. And 71% of these are likely to be in the developing world. The older elderly (80 years of age and above) will increase twice as fast as the younger elderly (between 60-8( years. This has happened in Thailand and in Kerala India). In Kerala, the number of people who will be 70 years old in 2020 AD. Is expected to rise to 5.8 per cent from the present 3.2 percent. Indeed, Kerala has the largest number of old age homes in the country. At the national level the figure will jump from 3.3% in 1980 to 5.3% in 200() AD; and 13.3% in 2025 A.D.
The basic point that needs to be made is that we are in a disaster situation a far as population is concerned and, therefore, have to make urgent and concerted efforts to bring down the increasing rate of population. The first thing that is needed is a breakthrough in contraceptive technology. If we can put up our own satellites, if we can develop missies that can carry various elements with them, why have our scientists not been able to affect a break-through in contraceptive technology? Western pharmaceutical companies seem to have lost interest in contraceptive technology. This is an area where we must have a major break-through. What we really need is either an anti-pregnancy vaccine, on which Professor Pran Talwar has been working for the last 20 years or a pill which is available like a pill of aspirin.
We are still dependent very largely on operative techniques, on vasectomies and tubectomies which are very effective. But they do impinge physically and psychologically upon the most sensitive elements of the human anatomy. If we can get a break-through in non-invasive techniques, it could make a vital difference. The welfare of children, maternal and child health care are absolutely essential for ensuring lower fertility. It may appear to be a contradiction in terms, but the lower child mortality rate, the lower is the growth rate. Where the mortality rate is high, the family tends to have many more children because they are not sure how many are going to survive.
Wherever children are well looked after and the mortality rate of the child falls, the fertility rate also falls. Therefore, the integrated child health care programme is extremely important.
This involves immunization to pregnant and nursing mothers; nutritional inputs to infants; and a whole gamut of medical and child care facilities up to the age of five. Thirdly, we have to develop some kind of old age insurance or pension. It is all very fine for intellectuals sitting comfortably in cities to say that everybody should have only two children, whether it includes a boy or not.
But when we talk of the villages and of poor people, when the girls get married and go away who is actually going to look after those people when they are old?
This may not be a fashionable question to ask, but is a valid question, not something which can be dismissed as an outmoded form of thinking.
The only way one can deal with it is to develop gradually some kind of an old-age pension for people who, after 60 to 65 years, cannot work, so that they are convinced that there is some sort of a 'safety net' even if they do not" have a male issue.
The fourth point is that population control is not something than can be done merely by government or by adopting policies in Parliament. What is required is a mass movement, a National Movement for Population Control. This must involve the Central government. State governments, local bodies, corporations, municipalities, Zila Parishad, and panchayats, because unless these bodies are deeply associated, the nation is not going to get the desired results. It is no use simply talking in urban areas, because in any case small family norms are much more popular there. It is the rural population which must be involved. We should involve not only the Chambers of Commerce and Industry but also the entire industrial sector, the working class sector and organised labour. Labour could be an extremely effective instrument for motivating the working class in view of the concentration of people who can be easily reached. Some progressive and enlightened industrial houses have already started paying attention to population control. We must also invoice non-governmental organizations, particularly women organizations. For example, the Family Planning Association, of India, which has not branches all over the country, could play a very meaningful role in this context.
Women are the key to the whole problem. Apart from these, youth organizations. Trade unions and co-operatives must be associated. We should also put population values into our educational system. Indeed we should not leave anybody out, including religious leaders. One of the problems faced in the earlier experiment was that a feeling developed, rightly or wrongly, that some communities were deliberately opting out of the family planning process. That feeling, unfortunately, had a very negative impact on others. Actually, the statistical figures did not prove that conclusively, but nonetheless there was a feeling.
So if we are really now going to have a second try at the population policy, we have to involve the religious leaders of all communities together.
Even in a Roman Catholic country like Italy, the growth rate has fallen despite the strong attitude taken by religious leaders of a certain community there therefore once you get to the people and explain to them that it is in their own interest that they should adopt the small family norm, and if we can go through the religious leaders, the message will be result oriented.
In the first few decades since Independence, the slow pace of economic growth ironically ensured a fast rate of population growth. However, in the eighties, there was it significant upswing in growth rates, poising the economy on the threshold of a higher rate of growth in the Eighth five year plan. The acceleration of economic growth has also been accompanied by the launching or fruition of a whole series of programmes of direct poverty alleviation and social development.
A Minimum Needs Programme, Rural Employment Guarantee Programmes and family asset creation programmes for those below the poverty line have resulted in a sensible decrease in absolute and relative levels of poverty. In fact, population control should be a subject of national consensus. The damange that has been -done to the national interest by making population control a subject of political controversy is absolutely impossible to compute. Hundreds of billions of rupees have gone to create all the infrastructure that is necessary, but we have already reached such a huge figure that even if our population growth rate begins to fall, it will at least take 25 years before our population begins to stabilize. So the country must realise that it is facing a disaster situation. It is a difficult path, but there are no soft options. We are going through a multi-dimensional crisis in India today. It is an economic crisis, a social crisis, a political crisis, a spiritual crisis.
It seems that the great vision of those who led our freedom movement is disappearing, and we seem to be caught in a welter of negative thinking.
Many people have virtually given up hope. They may be right, but if we lose hope, then any chance of making it is also lost. We need not only a renewal of interest in population control but also a renewal of faith in ourselves, in our cultural heritage and in the capacity of democracy. The whole world is moving towards democracy, and in our country we find democracy itself is under tremendous pressure.

POPULATION OF INDIA

POPULATION OF India
Man is the creator of all the wealth, said Karl Marx, and without man, all other resources remain ideal. Thus, man is the central focus points of all development efforts. Man produces wealth and wealth is produced for the use of mankind. Hence, population of a country is a crucial factor in the development of its economy. The literal meaning of population is the whole number of people or inhabitants in a country or region. Among the countries, India ranks second in population and seventh in land area. It has 15% of the population and 2.3% of the area of the world. Indias national income which is barely two percent of the total global income clearly shows the tremendous strain of population.
According to the 2011 census, the total population of India was around 1210 million (121.0 crore) as against 1028 million (102.8 crore) persons in 2001. From this, it is clear that Indias population is increasing at a vast rate. Is population a boon or a curse? Indias population explosion is a curse and is damaging to the development of the country and its society. Population of India is a big problem of Indian economic growth. India, on verge of becoming a developed country, I still, a developing one. The reason behind is-Overpopulation.
The main factors affecting the population change are the birth rate, death rate and migration. The population growth potential in India is high on two counts: first the base population is large and second, a reduction of death rate without a corresponding decline in the birth rate is highly improbable. Mortality has become primarily a function of the application of medical science and can be spectacularly reduced by measures of sanitary reform, better transportation and distribution facilities. Reducing the birth rate is a much more complex matter involving radical social adjustment which has hitherto been resistant to change. Unfortunately, the death rate is declining, and there are reasonable chances that it will continue to decline owing to continuing improvements in the sanitary and health conditions of the masses. This implies that if birth rate does not fall, the gap between birth and death rates will continue to widen and India will be faced with the danger of a rapidly increasing multitude, or what is often called the population explosion. Thus rapidly increasing population of India is a result of prevailing high birth rates and a large decline in the death rate.
Population change = (Births + Immigration) (Deaths + Emigration)
The resources do not increase as the population increases. India currently faces a vicious cycle of population explosion and poverty. One of the most Important reasons for this population increases in India is poverty. Due to poverty, the infant mortality rate among such families like food and medical resources. Thus, they produce more children assuming that not all of them would be able to survive. The end result is a mounting increase in the population size of India. The practice of early marriage is another factor for continues increase in birth rate. A large majority of girls in India are married during the most fertile period 15 and18 years of age. This gives a wider reproductive period and continues to high birth rate. Widespread improvident maternity (child bearing by mothers who have already borne three or more children) and lack of conscious family planning have also kept birth rate in India very high.
Death rate in India has declined over the past few decades due to a number of factors such as the control of epidemics, due to widespread increase in medical and health facilities. Many dreaded diseases of the past like malaria and TB have been brought under control while smallpox, etc. have been completely eradicated. Therefore, it is clear that India is passing through a period of population explosion due to her continuing high birth rate and a sharp fall in the death rate.
Due to increased population, the educational facilities are very scarce. A lot of families prefer having a son rather than a daughter. As a result, a lot of families have more children than they actually want or can afford, resulting in increased poverty, lack of resources, and most importantly, an increased population. Hence, illiteracy and lack of awareness creates a thought that having more children, will give a secure future to the parents and the society, but, what is the use if the children themselves do not get the desired facilities? What is the use, if they will be the burden for the society? The answer lies within. They can serve the country only if they get the desired facilities like food, shelter and most importantly-Education. With the spread of education and family consciousness, it is expected that more and more people will take recourse to birth control measures thus reducing the birth rate in future.
India, being a developing country, has a limited number of jobs available. With the increasing population, unemployment rates are bound to rise even further. Resources are always limited. And in a developing and highly populous country like India, resources are even scarcer. Population explosion results in the shortage of even the most basic resources like food. If India will not control its population very soon we will have problem of feeding this huge population very soon. Either we need to learn to manage human resources quickly or we need to decrease our population growth rate ASAP. We as Indian citizen need to understand our responsibilities. India is free democratic country this does not mean that citizens do not have some responsibility.
The population increase has lead to air and water pollution, unemployment, poverty, lack of educational resources, and even malnourished women and children. The technological development of India has lead not only to medical advancements, but also to an increase in the number of factories, that has lead to air and water pollution. According to an article by the World Bank Organization, Delhi, the capital of India is one of the worlds most polluted cities. As the population increased grows, more and more forests are cleared.
Rapid population growth is an obstacle to Indias economic development. India today is grossly populated. And since the country is short of capital and technology to fully exploit its resources, it means that most of the Indians live in poverty, face unemployment and suffer from ill health. No wonder that in spite of half a century of development, over a fourth of Indias population lives below poverty line. It is now universally agreed that an effective control of population growth is necessary if our development effort is to yield any result. How Indias population hinders the development of an economic growth. The following ways are: Increasing population has eaten up much of the additional income that has been generated in the economy during the five-year plans; fast growing population has resulted in a serious shortage of food; increasing burden of unproductive population; population growth hampers the growth of capital formation; it lowers the labour efficiency. It shows that Indias population is overpopulated.
Rapid population growth has thus hampered economic growth in India and this prevented any substantial reduction in poverty of the masses. But poverty itself is also the cause of rapid population growth. The problem of Indias population affects almost every aspect of economic life and has a profound significance for the future of the country. The government of India has been organizing several programs for limiting the increase in population and has been spending millions of dollars on controlling the birth rate. Some of the programs have been successful; still to reach the sustainable rate. Among such measures are included spread of education that enables people to think and take rational decision regarding family size; expansion in employment facility for women that makes them economically more independent and capable of making effective rational choices regarding the number of children they would like to have without compromising their economic status; reduction in infant mortality rate; expanding education for the female children and providing them equal access to their all socio-economic needs as are provided to the male children thus removing the gender bias; raising the age of marriage; and propagation of family planning and small family norms.
Today India is 2nd largest country in terms of population. Now a days increasing population of India is a big problem. Increasing population in India without any limit is one of the problems behind the lacking development in the country. In India, unchecked growth of the population is more of a hindrance to the development of the economy. The major factors affecting the population increase of India are the rapidly increase birth rate and decreasing death rates. Birth rates will fall only when people themselves realise the evils of large family and volunteer for family planning. Family planning means having babies by choice not by chance. The success of family planning greatly depends on women and their status. Thus, it is imperative for the women to be educated so that they can decide on the number of children they want and be aware of the available birth control measures.
A proper population policy should aim at two things- rapid economic development of the country and check on the further growth of our numbers. The government of India has adopted several measures to control the birth rate through the family planning measures. Family planning is the best method of achieving the second desideration. Thus family planning implies conscious effort at limiting the size of the family.
To conclude the chronic and widespread misery of the Indian people is due to the existence of too many people for the available means of subsistence and situation gets worse instead of better. A rapidly increasing population aggravates the poverty, worsens the unemployment, reduces the per capita income proportion of unproductive people, hampers capital formation and makes the people inefficient. The population of India has been explored and discovered to be acute and speedily growing more serious. Therefore, an all efforts have to be made to reduce the birth rate through comprehensive programme of family planning so that sufficient resources are released for the economic development of the country.

Bibliography:
http://scholarship.law.duke.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2851&context=lcp
http://libinfo.uark.edu/aas/issues/1951v4/v4a18.pdf
http://www.populationofindia.info/
http://blog.oureducation.in/increasing-population-of-india-is-problem/
http://www1bpt.bridgeport.edu/~darmri/population_explosion.html

From:
Rupal Agarwal