Monday, January 20, 2014

ECONOMY BASICS


Ø  Intro:
o   Economy – All production units and workplaces existing in a place
§  provides goods and services – directly or indirectly satisfies wants of people
§  Consumer goods:
·         Single use CG – milk, eggs, meat etc
·         Durable CG – refrigerator, TV etc
§  Consumer services:
·         having a haircut, laundry, banks, doctors etc
§  Producer goods:
·         Goods req to produce more goods – machinery, raw material etc
·         Single user PG – raw material
·         Durable PG – machinery

§  Producer services: single use
o   Vital processes of economy – Production, consumption, investment
o   Stock investment Vs Fixed investment:
§  SI – addition to stock of raw materials, semi finished n finished goods in a year
·         Opening n closing stock – stock at beginning and closing of a year
·         If closing stock is less than opening  stock then it is disinvestment
§  FI – acquire durable use producer goods by production units
o   Net Investment = Gross Investment – Depreciation
o   Production, consumption and investment – interdependent


Ø  Economic Dev and Indian Economy:
o   Economic growth: increase in total volume of goods and services produced by a nation
§  8.4% - expected growth (12th financial commission)
o   Eco Dev:
§  Economic growth + positive changes in other spheres of life
§  HDI rank – 134
o   World Bank classifies nations into four levels based on Percapita GNP(LI, LMI, UMI, HI)

Ø  Income:
o   Factor Income:  Profit earned by owner of factor of production in return for the services rendered to the production units(E)+
§  Worker earns income called wages (L)+
§  Land owner earns rent (L)+
§  Owner of capital earns interest (C)
§  4 Factors of production – land,labour,capital,entrepreneurship
o   Non factor income:
§  Money receipts which do not involve any sacrifice on the part of their recipient
§  Gifts, donations, charities, taxes, fines etc
§  Also known as ‘Transfer incomes’
o   National income includes only factor incomes
o   Diff b/n land and capital – land is a free gift(nature), capital is produced by man
o   Flows During Economic activity:
§  Real Flow – flow of goods or services from seller
§  Money flow – flow of money from buyer
o   Types of Economy:
§  Closed Economy –  country which has no eco relations with rest of world
§  Open economy – country which has economic relations with rest of world
o   How to get finance:
§  Bond – It is a security paper, with timed returns
§  Credit rating companies – CRISIL, S&Ps, Moody
§  Junk Bonds – Bonds with credit rating C or D – ‘High Yield Bond’
§  Gilt Edge securities – Government bonds have high credit rating ‘AA’ – low interest rate – but guaranteed returns
§  Bearer Bonds – They don’t have the holder’s name but attached with coupons which can be withdrawn by selling them to broker and fetch partial amount
§   Equity – Take money from individual and offer partnership
§  IPO – Initial Public Offer – Selling of Share Papers for the first time to the public is called as IPO
·         Primary Market – where IPOs are sold
§  The buyers of IPO sell these papers to others, these papers are called – equity or shares
·         Secondary Market – where shares are sold
§  Venture Capitalist – Company which gives initial money to start a company or expand a company but in return demand Part of ownership
·         Deal with only big projects, big investments
§  Angel Investors – Rich gentlemen; finance startup companies for getting partial ownership and or assured returns of investment, after few years\
·         Can give money in the form of Debt or Equity
§  Underwriter – charges commission but covers all technical things, paperwork, SEBI regulations, selling, accepting money for IPO/Bonds sales

Ø  National Income:
o   The sum total of factor of incomes accruing to the residents of the country, both from their activities within and outside the economic territory is the national income of the country
o   Intermediate products – one production unit purchasing from other for resale
o   Final product – all goods and services purchased for consumption and investment , and not for resale
o   Value added = Value of output – Intermediate cost
o   Gross value added = net value added + depreciation
o   Indirect tax – all taxes levied on production, finally paid by consumer of buyer
§  Ex – sales tax, excise, customs, octrol
o   Subsidies – Financial help given by the government to the production units for selling the product at lower prices
o   Net Value added at factor cost (NVafc) = Net value added at market price(NVamp)-indirect taxes + subsidies
o   National Product = Domestic product – Factor income paid to rest of the world + Factor income received from rest of world
o   National Income – same as ‘Net National Product at factor cost’
o   Mixed income – mixture of factor incomes (land, labour, capital, entrepreneurship) and difficult to allocate different factor incomes
o   Private Final Consumption Expenditure – sum of purchases made by households and value of free services provided by Non-profit institutions serving households
o   Government’s Final Consumption Exp. – free services provided by govt. to people
o   Gross Domestic Capital Formation – total on investment by production units within economic territory – Gross Domestic Fixed Capital + Net addition to stock
o   Net Export – Measure of investment abroad


Ø  National Income Measurement:
o   Primary sector: all production units engaged in exploitation of natural resources
§  Agriculture, Fishing, Mining and Quarrying , Forestry and Logging
o   Secondary sector: all production units engaged in transforming one good to another
§  Registered manufacture, unregistered,  Construction, Electricity Gas Water supply
o   Tertiary sector: all units engaged in producing services
§  Banking&Insurance, Trade hotel restaurant, transport storage commn, Real estate dwelling, Public administration & defence, other services
o   Three sectors are divided into 14 sub-sectors in Indian economy
o   National income can be measured in three ways
§  Value added method, NNPfc = Sum of GVAmp of all sectors (GDPmp – depreciation – indirect taxes + subsidies + Net factor income from abroad)
§  Income Distribution method, NNPfc = Compensation of employees + Rent + Interest + Profit + Net factor income from abroad
§  Final Expenditure Method = Private Final Consumption Expenditure + Government Final Consumption Expenditure + Gross Domestic Capital Formation + Net Exports
Ø  Uses of National Income Estimates:
o   Money income – income accrued by the people in an year
o   Real Income – amount of goods and services that can be purchased from money income
o   Real Income  - National income at constant prices
o   National income at constant prices = National income at current prices /  price index
o   Rate of growth of national income at constant prices is a measure of rate of economic growth of a country
Ø  Micro economics:
o   Study of allocation of resources by a producer  on production of different goods and services is subject matter of Micro economics
o   Study of actions and reactions of a consumer is a micro economic study
o   Study of relationship between price and commodity and its demand or supply is a micro economic study
o   Formulating economic theory by deductive method – selecting problem, specifying assumptions, deducing hypothesis, testing of hypothesis
o   Formulating economic theory by inductive method – selecting problem, collection classification analysis of data, establish relationship b/n variables through logic
Ø  Demand:
o   Quantity of commodity willing to buy at a given price at a given unit of time – demand
o   Always expressed with reference to unit of time and price
o   Factors affecting: Price,                 Income of buyer, Tastes n Preferences, Prices of related goods
o   Law of demand: when other things are constant, if price of commodity falls its quantity demand rises and if price rises, its quantity demand falls(inversely related)

§  Exceptions:
·         Prestige goods – goods bought because their possession increase social status of the buyers
·         Giffen goods – Day to day needed goods, consumption of which cannot be decrease because of price hike, instead buyer decreases other product buying to giffen good(like bread, rice)
·         Expectations – buyer expect more rise of price in future
o   Expansion of demand – demand of good rises due to fall in price(demand curve – downward)
o   Contraction of demand – demand of good falls due to rise in price (demand curve – upward)
o   Increase in demand – demand of good rises due to changes in other factors, price of good is same, it is increase in demand (demand curve – upward)
o   Decrease in demand – demand of good falls due to change in other factors, price of good is same, it is decrease in demand (demand curve – downward)
Ø  Supply:
o   Quantity of good that seller is willing to sell at a given price in a given time
o   Factors affecting: Price, other commodities, factors of production, objective of producer, production technology
o   Law of supply: when other things remain same, there is direct relationship between price of commodity and its quantity supplied in the market
Ø  Price determination:
o   Equilibrium price of a commodity is the price at which demand and supply are equal
o   Point of intersection of demand curve and supply curve shows equilibrium quantity and equilibrium price
o   If quantity demanded is greater than the quantity supplied then:
§  Price starts rising
§  Demand starts  falling
§  Supply starts rising
o   If quantity supplied is greater than quantity demanded:
§  Price starts falling
§  Expansion of demand
§  Contraction of supply
o   If demand increases(decreases) supply schedule remains constant, equilibrium price will rise(fall)
o   If supply increases(decreases) , demand schedule remaining same, equilibrium price will fall(rise)
o   If supply increases(decreases), demand decreases(increases) then equilibrium price will fall(rise)


Ø  Cost:
o   Paid out costs – actual payments, on purchasing and hiring different goods and services used in production. Also known as explicit costs.
o   Imputed costs – cost of self-owned and self provided inputs
o   Normal profit – minimum remuneration earned over the monetary and imputed costs
o   Fixed costs – expenditure which remains fixed irrespective of quantity of output
o   Variable costs – cost which change with every change in output
o   Marginal cost – the additional cost incurred on production of last unit of output
Ø  Revenue:
o   Total Revenue = Quantity produced and sold(Q) x Price per unit product(P)
o   Average Revenue = Total Revenue/Total Quantity (TR/Q)
o   Marginal revenue – Additional revenue from the output level increased by one unit
o   Revenue – receipt from sales of the product
o   Profit – excess of Revenue over cost
o   If price of product is same at all levels of output then AR is equal to MR or price at all levels of output
o   If more of a product can be sold only by lowering its price then MR is less than AR or Price as the price of the product falls
Ø  Profit Maximization:
o   Normal (Zero) Profit – If TR=TC then level of profit is zero
o   Above Normal (more than zero) profit – If TR>TC then level of profit greater than 0
o   Loss Position – below normal position (ie, TR<TC) then it is a loss position
o   Profit is maximum when excess of Total Revenue over Total Cost is maximum
o   If MR>MC – profit;
o   When MC=MR and this equality is at the level of output from which no profitable movement is possible, producer gets maximum profit
Ø  Government Budgeting:
o    Budget – statement of expected expenditure of government and sources of financing these expenditures during the financial year
o   Fiscal policy or budgetary policy – Implementation of government policies through budget formulation
o   Budget – two parts: Receipts, expenditure
o   Receipts:
§  Revenue receipts – current income receipts from all sources
·         Taxes, profits from public enterprises, grants etc
·         No future obligation to return the amount
§  Capital receipts – borrowings of the government
·         Govt. is under the obligation to return the amount along with interest
o   Revenue Receipts:
§  Tax revenue – legally compulsory payment imposed on people by Govt.
·         Direct tax –
o   Corporation tax – income tax on profits of companies
o   Income tax – imposed on who earn income
o   Interest tax – tax on interest income
o   Expenditure tax – tax on expenditure incurred
o   Wealth tax – tax on wealth of individuals
o   Gift tax – tax on gifts given
·         Indirect tax –
o   Sales tax – imposed on sales of goods and services
o   Customs – taxes on imports and exports
o   Union Excise duty – tax on manufacturing goods
o   Service tax – tax on producing services
§  Non – tax revenue:
·         Interest receipts – interest on loans given to people, enterprises, local govt.
·         Dividends and Profits – Dividends and profits received from Public Sector Enterprises
·         External grants – Financial help received from foreign  govts in form of donations, gifts etc
o   Capital Receipts:
§  Borrowings – Domestic borrowings, External assistance
§  Recovery of loans
§  Resale of shares in the Public Sector Undertakings
o   Expenditures:
§  Capital Vs Revenue:
·         Capital Expenditure – expenditure of creation of assets
·         Revenue Expenditure – expenditure on items which do not lead to asset
§  Plan Vs Non Plan:
·         Plan expenditure – Provision of expenditure in the budget
·         Non plan – expenditure on routine functions of govt throughout year
o   Budgetary Deficit – excess of all budgetary expenditures over budgeted receipts
§  BD = Total Budget expenditure – Total budget receipts
o   Fiscal Deficit – Excess of all expenditures over total receipts reduced by borrowings
§  FD = Total Budget expenditure – Total budget receipts net of borrowings
o   Sources of financing deficit:
§  Borrowing from public and foreign governments
§  Withdrawing of cash balance with RBI
§  Borrowing from RBI
o   Main objectives of Budget Policy:
§  Providing effective administration
§  Providing infrastructure facilities
§  Providing employment opportunities
§  Ensuring stability in prices
§  Reducing inequalities of incomes
§  Promoting economic growth
§  Correcting balance of payments deficit
Ø  Money Supply & Regulation:
o   Demand deposits – money from these deposits can be withdrawn on demand
o   Time deposits – deposits without instant withdrawal facility; can be withdrawn after mutually agreed time period expires
o   Legal tender money – any money backed by legal assurance
§  Currency notes and coins are legal tender money
§  Bank deposits are not legal tender money
o   RBI – central bank; apex bank; deals only with govt and maintains govt accounts
§  Currency notes from 2 to 1000 are issued by RBI
§  1 rupee note (Signed by Ministry of Fin,GoI), coins are issued by ‘Govt. of India’
§  Regulates functioning of all banking institutions
§  Commercial bank – banks other than RBI
o   Statutory Liquid Ratio: minimum percentage of deposits to be held with itself(bank)
o   Cash Reserve Ratio: minimum percentage of deposits to be held with RBI
o   Legal Reserve – The minimum percentage of deposits which commercial banks are required to keep in the form of reserves
§  LR = SLR + CRR
o   National Stock on money in an economic system:
§  Notes and coins with public (other than banks) .. (1)
§  Notes and coins with commercial banks .. (2)
§  Deposits of commercial banks with the central bank .. (3)
§  Demand deposits with commercial banks .. (4)
o   Total stock of cash in country (Paper Money)= (1)+(2)+(3)
o   Total cash with commercial banks = (2) + (3)
o   (4) is money in form of DD used for payment by cheques – Bank money
o   Transaction money (Narrow Money or M1) = (1) + (4)
o   Bank Rate – The interest rate charged on the commercial banks by central bank
Ø  Planning in India
o   Economic development – sustained rise in national product plus other positive changes
o   5 year plans prepared to fulfil the overall objectives of economic planning of india
o   Objectives of economic planning in India are:
§  Accelerated economic growth
§  Reduction in economic inequalities
§  Self reliance
§  Balanced regional development
§  Modernization
§  Reduction of unemployment
o   Achievements of Economic Planning:
§  Economic growth
§  Reduction of income inequalities
§  Increase in agricultural, industrial production
§  Modernization of technology, economy
§  Alround development of economy
o   Major failures of Economic Planning:
§  Objective of rapid economic growth not fulfilled
§  Reduction of inequalities
§  Self reliance
§  Unemployment
§  Balance regional growth
Ø  Economic Reforms:
o   In 1991, India faced a severe Foreign Exchange shortage
§  There was a growing gap in officially fixed exchange rate of rupee with other countries and the market determined rate
§  Petrol rates rose because of Iraq – Kuwait war. Income from these countries decreased
§  India political situation was not stable, because of minority government
o   These resulted in a massive change in Industrial policy:
§  Industrial policy changes:
·         De licensing of industries
·         Freedom to import technology
·         Freedom to foreign investment
·         Restriction on large industry removed
·         Industries reserved for government opened for private sector
§  Trade and Foreign Exchange Policy changes:
·         Reduction in import duties
·         Import licensing liberalized
·         Controls on Foreign Exchange removed
§  Fiscal Policy changes:
·         Reduction in Excise duty
·         Reduction in rate of direct taxes
·         Reduction in government expenditures
·         Sale of government capital
o   Nature of Indian Economic planning became ‘indicative planning’ from 8th 5year plan
o   Govt now depends on – inequalities, removal of poverty, reduction of unemployment, balanced regional growth
Ø  Agriculture:
o   Agriculture production can be increase by
§  Extensive cultivation – increasing total area under cultivation
§  Intensive cultivation – growing more on same area
o   Productivity of cultivation land =Total physical output crop/total cultivated area of crop
o   Causes for low productivity:
§  Lack of incentive for making improvements on land
§  Subdivision and fragmentation of land holdings
§  Lack of proper irrigation facilities
·         Untimely rains, inadequate rains
§  Dependence on traditional methods of cultivation
§  Lack of use of other inputs
·         Seeds, fertilizers, pesticides
§  Lack of rural credit
§  Lack of other facilities such as storage or marketing
§  More number of marginalized farmers than medium and big farmers which decrease productivity ultimately
o   Measures to increase agriculture productivity:
§  Institutional Measures (land reforms)
·         Abolition of intermediaries
·         Providing security to tenant farmers
·         Ceiling on land holdings
·         Consolidation of land holdings
§  Technological measures
·         Irrigation facilities; surface water resources; ground water resources
·         Availability of better quality of inputs – seeds, fertilizers, pesticides
·         Provision of rural credit
o   Co-operative Credit Societies, Regional Rural Banks, NABARD
Ø  Industries:
o   Industries play important role in Indian Economy:
§  Produce goods for consumption, production units
§  Help in production of services
§  Make country self reliant
§  Promote exports
§  Important source of livelihood
§  Help in exploration and exploitation of natural resources
o   Factors affecting industrial growth:
§  Availability of raw materials
§  Availability of technology
§  Availability of infrastructure facilities
§  Availability of manpower
§  Employer and employee relations
§  Demand for goods
o   New Economic Policy, July 1991:
§  Private sector is made to allow entry of industries based on iron and steel, electricity, air transportation, ship building, heavy machinery
§  Industries covered under licensing system:
·          
o   Index of Industrial Production(IIP) – Performance of industrial sector is measured by IIP
o   IPR 1991 has de-reserved 9 industries out of 17 public sector industries
o   Small scale industries are labour intensive
Ø  Interrelationship between Industry and Agriculture:
o   The Industry is dependent on agriculture:
§  Industrial sector receives raw materials from agriculture sector
§  Population engaged in agriculture is source of demand for industrial growth
§  Agriculture is a source of labour for Industrial sector
§  Agriculture sector provides food to labour engaged in Industrial sector
§  Source of funds for Industrial sector
o   Agriculture is dependent on industry because:
§  Industry sector provides seeds to agriculture
§  It provides fertilizers
§  Industries provide equipment and instruments needed for agriculture
§  Provides pesticides
§  Provides materials for building infra for agriculture marketing and storage
§  Manufactured goods to people engaged in agricultural sector
§  Source of funds to agriculture sector
Ø  Financial Institutions:
o   Financing – Arrangement of money to be used for any purpose
o   Price paid for obtaining finance is called Rate of Interest(RoI)
o   Types of financing:
§  Short term finance – period range less than 15 months
§  Medium term finance – period range between 15 months to 5 years
§  Long term finance – period of more than 5 years
o   Money market – Source which meet short term requirements of money
o   Capital market – Source which meet medium and long term requirements of money
o   Sources of finance:
§  Non Institutional sources – source taken from individuals (ex,chits, financer)
§  Institutional source – organizations which are setup for providing finance
o   NABARD:
§  Apex bank in provision of institutional finance in rural areas
§  Provides short, medium & long term credit to State Coooperative banks, Regional Rural Banks, other Financial institutions approved by RBI
§  Not only provides loans for agricultural activities, but also for activities related to agriculture(allied) and promotes agriculture and rural development.
§   
o   Source of industrial finance within country are:
§  Public issues (shares and debentures)
·         Share – unit of company where individual treated as owner
·         Debenture – holder have no concern with ownership, they get interest at some pre-determined rate of interest
§  Public deposits
§  Commercial banks
·         Give short term loans
·         People can deposit money
·         They are confined to giving loans
§  Industrial banks
·         Give medium, long term loans
·         People cannot deposit money in industrial  banks
·         Apart from giving loans they offer technical advice and market inf.
o   Financial Institutions (Industrial Banks):
§  Industrial Finance Corporation of India(IFCI):
·         First development bank to setup in 1948 by GoI
§  Industrial Development Bank of India(IDBI):
·         Apex institution providing term finance from 1964
§  Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India(ICICI):
·         Setup in January,1955 for purpose of developing small and medium industries in private sector
§  Small Industries Development Bank of India(SIDBI):
·         Setup in 1990 as a wholly owned subsidiary of IDBI
·         Principal financial institution for financing and development of small scale industries
§  Export Import Bank of India (EXIM bank):
·         Setup in 1982, provide finance for development of exports
§  Unit Trust of India (UTI):
·         Setup in 1964 by RBI. 50% subsidiary of IDBI, rest 50% by LIC, SBI, other scheduled banks, IFCI, ICICI
·         Main source of funds are sale of units to public under various schemes
Ø  BoT and BoP:
o   Trade account of a Balance of Payments include exports and imports of goods in a year
o   The difference between value of exports of goods and value of imports of goods is called Balance of Trade
o   Trade acc includes – exports and imports of goods only
o   Exports and Imports of Goods is called as Transaction of visible items or Merchandise
o   Balance of Trade – Balance of visibles
o   Difference b/n total receipts and total payments of foreign currencies on account of invisibles is called Balance on account of invisibles
o   Current Account Deficit – If India’s receipts of foreign currencies on account of trade and invisibles has been less than its payments
Ø  Foreign Exchange Rate:
o   Ways to determine Foreign Exchange Rate:
§  Fixed by central bank of India
§  Determined by foreign exchange market
o   Fixed foreign exchange rate – till 1991, Foreign rate was used to be fixed by RBI
§  Official exchange rate
§  Devaluation – Fall in the value of domestic currency in terms of foreign currency
o   Market Determined Foreign Exchange Rate:
§  Flexible exchange rate
§  Forex market – foreign exchange market is one in which foreign currencies are bought and sold
§  Foreign exchange rate (llly good) has:
·         Inverse relation to demand
·         Direct relation to supply
§  Depreciation – fall of rupee value for a foreign currency
o   To regulate big fluctuations in FOREX rates RBI buys and sells foreign exchange in open market
Ø  Inflow of Capital (Foreign):
o   Foreign capital – investments made by Non Resident Institutions and foreign ind.
o    Forms of External Capital – FDI, International Loans & Grants (Foreign Aid)
o   Debt-GDP ratio or Debt trap – If country’s debt crosses 30% country is in an international debt trap
Ø  New Trade Policy – Implications:
o   Pre reform trade period – Curbs on Import, incentives for export promotion
o   Imports controlled by – import licenses, import quotas,  custom duties, import prohibitions
o   Reasons NTP 1991:
§  BoP showed Deficit – because of low quality high cost products – no foreign demand
§  Sharp decline in Forex reserves to $1bn (not enough for two weeks country req)
o   Reforms in Trade Policy:
§  Reduction in tariff rates and rationalization in tariff structure
§  Liberalization of import licenses; abolition of licensing of many import items
§  Role of Public sector trading agencies
§  Exchange rate reforms (From fixed ex rate to Market driven)
o   March 1992, Liberalized Exchange Rate Mgmt. System (LERMS)

GV Simha